Belmont Park Horse Racing Picks for Friday 6/19/20
With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 1:15 p.m. EST, we have 10 races at Belmont Park. Using our numberFire projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, keep an eye out for scratches and changes, and check the weather and track conditions.
(I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions).
Out of Trouble and Fetching, Race 7
FD Odds: 7/2 and 10/1
This is perhaps the most competitive race on the card, with 12 state-bred fillies and mares going seven furlongs on the turf. Favorite Lovely La La (3/1) has not won in 20 months and moves from EPO trainer Chad Brown to Michelle Nevin. Her speed figures are solid in four runner-up finishes, but I have no interest coming off the long layoff, as there are better choices and values to consider.
Another EPO trainer, Brad Cox, has a pair of runners in Out of Trouble (7/2) and First Appeal (6/1). Speed figures and a return to this state-bred level with Joel Rosario riding makes Out of Trouble an appealing horse. But First Appeal has finished first or second in 15-of-30 starts and has shown enough speed. Jose Ortiz rides for her 2020 debut. Include her in the start of the Pick 4.
Fetching (10/1) is working very well in the mornings for her 2020 debut. Trained by Mark Casse and a son of Afleet Alex, she broke her Maiden at Belmont 13 months ago and finished fourth behind winner Out of Trouble in October while posing a stronger speed figure (94) than the winner. Value.
A Little Faith (9/2) makes her 2020 debut and so does VIP Nation (5/1), the top pick at numberFire, who can get to the lead but will have to battle other pace pressers.
The Caretaker, Race 8
FD Odds: 4/1
The Caretaker (4/1) breaks from the outside post No. 9 in this state-bred sprint at 6 ½ furlongs. The son of Speightstown has finished first or second in 15-of-30 starts and has been working consistently and well in his return to the track off a runner-up finish in February. He hit a career-best speed figure of 115 in a win at the end of last year and will be closing strong with Luis Saez urging him on.
Eye Luv Lulu (5/2) moves from disgraced trainer Jason Servis to Rob Atras. No interest in this washed up 9-year-old gelding as favorite who hasn’t won a race in 17 months.
The top pick at numberFire is Summer Bourbon (9/2), who won in February finishing less than a length in front of the favorite and our top pick, The Caretaker. Summer Bourbon got in a prep race two weeks ago and finished fifth but is still a solid threat with Joel Rosario riding for EPO trainer Rudy Rodriquez.
Maxwell Esquire, Race 9
FD Odds: 10/1
The minor $80k Sir Cat Stakes drew eight runners for the 6 furlong sprint on the Inner Turf. There's a strong group in here, and FanDuel Racing odds have Maxwell Esquire (10/1) as the seventh lowest, but this son of Discreet Cat has hit the board in four of five starts, and trainer Christophe Clement brings him back quickly off a career best 94 speed rating and third-place finish in his 2020 debut June 7. Offering value and strong stretch rider Joel Rosario should have him tracking on the turf and moving well late.
Jack and Noah (3/1) is the second choice of Daily Horse Picks behind Chimney Rock (2/1) and jockey Jose Ortiz. Both could win this, and horizontal players in the late races will include them. In a field of 12 on May 17 at Churchill Downs, those two ran head-to-head down the stretch well in front of the others, and Chimney Rock prevailed on top. Chimney Rock brings the best credentials into the race, as he’s never finished out of the exacta in five turf sprint starts and was the runner-up in last year’s Breeders’ Cup event. That BC event was won by Four Wheel Drive, who happened to finished out of the money in that May 17 race at Churchill Downs as the heavy favorite.
The third-place finisher, Guiildsman (7/2), also a French-bred like Jack and Noah, finished third but at lower odds than the top two. numberFire puts Guildsman on top in the rematch.