Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, 6/13/20
With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and FanDuel Racing gives you the chance to do just that.
Starting at 1:00 p.m. EST, we have 11 races at Churchill Downs. Using our numberFire projections as a guide, here are some of the best bets.
As always, keep an eye out for scratches and changes, and check the weather and track conditions.
I will reference Equibase's Speed Figure in selected races, which tells you how fast a horse has been running in each of its races -- adjusted for track, distances, and conditions.
More and Reenie D, Race 8
FD Odds: Both 12/1
Race 8 has a high payoff potential and a pair of longshots could cash in for this 5 1/2-furlong sprint on the turf. Twelve fillies and mares for this Optional $62K Claimer, and More (12/1) has won a pair of races before faltering in her debut last month at Churchill Downs. A terrible trip and poor start followed by a wide trip. Improved and value long shot with a better try.
Reenie D (12/1) is the speed in here and raced on the lead before fading to third as a big long shot in the same race as More in May. She was blazing through a half mile and hit a 95 speed figure in her 2020 debut off a long layoff. She could clear and hold on this trip.
A value off-the-pace runner is Dance Rhymes (8/1). The favorite, Hidden Facts (3/1), posted back-to-back 98 speed figures in two May races, including May 30 at Churchill Downs when finishing sixth. Quick turnaround shows she’s healthy, and trainer Brian Lynch believes she’s ready for a better showing.
Admission Office and He’s No Lemon, Race 11
FD Odds: 3/1 and 15/1
The featured race Saturday for the 1 1/2-mile marathon Louisville Stakes (G3). Favorite Arklow (8/5) has plenty of competition with 12 runners vying for a $100K purse. Arklow is the best horse in the race but has been unpredictable. A switch back to regular rider Florent Geroux will help, and HRN’s Super Screener notes this closer has faced the toughest competition in his last three races. Off since January but has performed well off a layoff.
Admission Office (3/1) is another closer who changed his style a bit last race more forwardly placed. A consistent board hitter who has reached 109 or better speed figures in his last three races to include in horizontal wagers.
He’s No Lemon (15/1) is a lightly-raced 4-year-old long shot to include for trainer Graham Motion. Long layoff last racing in September but capable distance no issue and could hit the board or surprise at a price.
Tiz a Slam (7/2) will set the pace but have more runners keeping him honest with pressure.
