Churchill Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday 6/11/20

With most of the sports world on pause, it's a great time to dive into horse racing, and TVG gives you the chance to do just that.

Starting at 1:00 p.m. EST, we have nine races at Churchill Downs. Let's look at some of the best bets.

As always, keep an eye out for scratches and changes.

Firehorn, Race 1

TVG Odds: 3/1

Firehorn (3/1) has gone 5-4-2 in his last three outings, per Timeform, and he's an appealing pick in the day's opening race. Tied as the second-favorite, the gelding rates out in the top three in the field in both pace and speed rating at DHP gives him a 16% chance to win, barely behind the 17% odds of favorite Swither's Shortcut (5/2), and DHP has Firehorn finishing in the top three 48% of the time in this seven-horse field.

Sweet Carolina, Race 3

TVG Odds: 7/2

Sweet Carolina (7/2) checks a few boxes in Race 3. DHP has the filly atop the field in both pace and speed rating. She's also been in sparkling form, with three seconds and a first across her past four outings. She'll be guided by Ricardo Santana Jr., a Churchill Downs veteran who had an 18% win rate and 43% top-three rate here in 131 starts from October 27th through December 1st of 2019, according to Equibase.

Fancy Liquor, Race 6

TVG Odds: 9/5

There's a lot to like about Fancy Liquor (9/5), the favorite in this race. DHP has the colt first in both pace and speed rating -- by a fairly comfortable margin in each. He won his first time out back on February 2nd and followed it up with a third-place effort on March 14. Fancy Liquor is DHP's pick to win as they hand him 12% win odds. Florent Geroux, owner of a 21% win rate in 62 tries at Churchill at the tail end of 2019, will be riding.