DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: Bermuda Championship
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the Bermuda Championship at Port Royal Golf Course.
|Key Stats for the Bermuda Championship @ Port Royal GC|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Proximity Gained: 100-125 yards|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 4s (especially under 400 yards)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds.
Will Zalatoris (DraftKings Salary: $10,900 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +1100) - Zalatoris has top 10 finishes in 11 of his 14 worldwide events since the Korn Ferry Tour restarted in June, most notably a T6 finish at the U.S. Open. The setup here cannot be more dissimilar than what he encountered at Winged Foot, but Zalatoris is arguably the most talented player in this field despite not even having full-time status on the PGA Tour yet. Given his recent elevation to PGA Tour events, we have to take his stats with a grain of salt.
He's eighth in strokes gained: approach, but with just eight measured rounds it's hard to feel totally confident there. He's 49th on par 4s (115th on ones 350-400 yards), 62nd in fairways gained, and 64th in birdies or better gained. But if we filter to include Korn Ferry events those numbers become 1st on par 4s (6th on 350-400), 30th in fairways gained, and 1st (by a fairly wide margin) in birdies or better gained.
Harold Varner ($10,700 | +2200) - Varner is first in the field on par 4s and fifth in the key range of 350-400 yards. He is 1st in birdies or better gained, 2nd in approach, AND 26th in fairways gained. His weakness is with the putter, but that will be mitigated here on these slow, soft surfaces. He finished well last time out with a T13 at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open despite losing strokes on approach. If the rest of his game is in form and it's just a matter of getting back to what he does best, he could run away with this tournament. HV3 is a longtime fan and industry favorite, and this may well represent one of his best chances to nab that first PGA Tour win.
Emiliano Grillo ($10,100 | +2600) - Grillo is talented enough to compete even in strong fields when he really plays well, but his lack of consistency holds him back against the top golfers. When he's up against a field devoid of top-end talent, however, he has the ability to shine. He is 8th in strokes gained: approach and in proximity gained from 100-125 yards, and 21st in fairways gained. He is 38th in birdies or better gained, but that's largely an effect of his extremely poor putting, as he is 1st in opportunities gained, which includes greens or fringes in regulation within 15 feet. Grillo did not play at the inaugural Bermuda Championship last year, but he did finish tied for third at the Puerto Rico Open in February, at a comparable course and field.
Cameron Tringale ($9,200 | +3300) - Tringale's his long term ballstriking and scoring stats stand out most weeks -- 6th in approach, 13th in birdies or better gained, 14th in proximity gained from 100-125 yards, and 16th in greens in regulation gained. But what's more intriguing is his recent ability to putt at a truly elite level, having gained in six straight events including three events with at least 4.8 strokes gained putting in three of those contests. He was boxed out by strong fields and played only six events in the 2019-20 season after the restart (including a DQ at the PGA Championship), and he's always been at his best when the class drops a bit, most recently evidenced by his third-place finish at the 3M Open.
Henrik Norlander ($8,900 | +4000) - Norlander flashed a decent ceiling over the course of last year or so, with three top 10s in the 2019-20 season and a fourth-place finish at the Sanderson Farms to start the 2020-21 season. He was carried in large part by elite putting on three of them (Sony Open and Sanderson feature bermuda greens). That's typically not something we want to chase, but while not an especially consistent putter, he has shown to be a high variance one. He plays well on par 4s, ranking second in the field overall and seventh just on ones measuring 350-400 yards. With good marks elsewhere -- he's 9th in fairways gained and 14th in approach -- Norlander fits the bill this week.
Luke List ($8,400 | +3400) - In baseball, we often talk about "quadruple A" players -- individuals who always do well in the minor leagues but can't break through and have success once they get called up to the Big Dance. List is analogous for golf, someone who benefits from a drop in field strength and sees exponential improvement when he is among the more talented in the field. With an eighth-place finish in the Dominican Republic and a win in the one Korn Ferry Tour event he played this year, List has surely been eyeing this slot on the calendar.
Scott Stallings ($7,800 | +5000) - Stallings flushed his way to a T6 finish at the Sanderson Farms Championship a few weeks back, gaining 3.1 strokes off the tee and 5.5 on approach. It was one of the best tee-to-green performances of his career, and all the more unusual as he was preceded by consecutive missed cuts, immediately followed by a flop his next time out at the Shriners (though in fairness that was due largely to losing 2.7 strokes putting on Friday). He was T18 in the inaugural Bermuda Championship, shooting 66-70-69-67. He is 4th in strokes gained: approach, 20th in greens in regulation gained, 23rd on par 4s, and 25th in proximity from 100-125 yards.
Max Homa ($7,200 | +7000) - Homa has been mostly bad since the restart, with a T3 at the 3M Open his only finish inside the top 40. But his game had been rounding out nicely right before COVID struck, has he had ripped off finishes of T9, T6, T14, T5, and T24 in his five events leading up to THE PLAYERS. Like a few others on this list, this is a talent play. Homa has the ability to win on the PGA Tour and has solid form in the not-too-distant rearview. Not many golfers in this field and this price range can boast that type of profile.
Jason Dufner ($7,100 | +8000) - Dufner is a former major champion who actually played Port Royal before last year when it hosted the erstwhile PGA Grand Slam of Golf exhibition. The Tour's top players have left him in the dust thanks to their massive distance games, but Dufner is wily and the list of golfers with major championship pedigree in this field is a short one. Never a strength, the putter has almost completely abandoned him, having lost on the greens in all but three events in the past year. Those events were stellar, however, as he gained over 3.0 strokes in all three.
Like several others mentioned here, we can forgive the lack of putting prowess if he is consistent elsewhere and if he at least can produce outlier results when on. Dufner has combines that high variance putter with solid tee-to-green play -- 1st in the proximity range from 100-125 yards, 3rd in strokes gained: tee-to-green, 7th in strokes gained: approach, and 16th in fairways gained.
Cameron Percy ($7,000 | +9000) - Percy is the best par 4 fit in the field, ranking sixth on all par 4s and first on par 4s between 350-400 yards. He's also 12th in strokes gained: approach and 21st in proximity gained from 100-125 yards. A T8 finish at the Corales Puntacana Resort & Club Championship shows he can shine against weaker fields. He's only played six times since play resumed in June, and getting some reps and making three straight cuts to start his season bodes well.
Vaughn Taylor ($6,600 | +13000) - Taylor's iron play comes and goes -- currently ranked 56th in his last 50 rounds -- and in truth, he has been quite bad since the COVID restart -- he's made just one cut since June and finished T52 at Harbour Town. He has shown enough flashes over the past 18 months and is historically a good putter on bermuda greens. So hold our nose and play Taylor when we can expect few others to roster him at a course that he should fit well He is 9th in both par 4s overall and our key 350-400 yard bucket, 11th in fairways gained, 19th in proximity gained from 100-125 yards, and 27th in birdies or better gained.
Josh Teater ($6,400 | +15000) - Teater is a short, straight hitter and looks like a good fit for Port Royal and this field. He is 3rd in proximity gained from 100-125 yards, 18th in birdies or better gained, 20th in fairways gained, and 23rd in strokes gained: approach. He is solid if unspectacular on par 4s, ranking 40th overall and 26th on holes measuring 350-400 yards. Teater finished T11 here last year and was runner up at the correlated Puerto Rico Open in February.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.