DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: BMW Championship
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
|Key Stats for the BMW Championship at Olympia Fields CC|
|Very Recent Form (Total Strokes Gained Last 8-16 Rounds)|
|Strokes Gained: Off the Tee|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds.
Dustin Johnson (DraftKings Price: $11,500 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +750) - The once and future king has reclaimed his spot at the top of the world after his second win in his last six starts after dominant 30(!)-under par performance at THE NORTHERN TRUST. He is easily first in total strokes gained on any recent sample by virtue of his 11-stroke margin of victory. While we won't expect to see him lead the field tee to green and rank ninth in putting again, DJ is in prime form right now. In the longer sample stats, he is 10th in strokes gained: off the tee, 12th in birdies or better gained, and 30th in approach, but obviously he's on the rise.
Daniel Berger ($9,700 | +2200) - We'll bracket the high range with Berger, who trails only Johnson in total strokes gained in their last eight rounds. A missed cut at the Memorial -- where he bogeyed his 35th hole and double bogeyed his 36th to miss the cut on the number -- is Berger's only blemish of 2020. A T13 at the PGA Championship is his only other finish outside the top 10 since January. He is 5th in birdies or better gained, 16th in strokes gained: off the tee, and 19th in strokes gained: approach.
Collin Morikawa ($9,500 | +2200) - While Johnson has reclaimed the top spot in the Official World Golf Rankings, Morikawa is right on his heels and likely would occupy that spot with a few more events under his belt. Another victory would all but cement his status as top dog, with two wins already in his last five starts. He is 3rd in strokes gained: approach, 9th in strokes gained: off the tee, and 18th in birdies or better gained. Also in his professional career he has never lost after missing a cut, so lock in another trophy for the 23-year-old. He will be extremely popular, but he is chalk worth eating, as he showed when winning as the highest-owned golfer at the PGA Championship.
Patrick Cantlay ($8,900 | +3500) - A rare missed cut at THE NORTHERN TRUST for Cantlay makes him very attractive in a bounce-back spot. His last missed cut was THE PLAYERS in 2019, and he followed that with a T9 at Augusta to start a streak of four straight top 10s. He's been flirting with disaster since the restart, consistently starting slow and battling back over the weekend. A missed cut should serve as a wake-up call with his eligibility for the TOUR Championship in jeopardy. Cantlay is 10th in strokes gained: approach, 21st in birdies or better gained, and 27th in strokes gained: off the tee. He is a great leverage play off the hot-but-still-unproven Scottie Scheffler ($9,000 | +3500).
Viktor Hovland ($8,200 | +3300) - Hovland is on the bubble for the TOUR Championship, currently sitting at 24th in the FedEx Cup Standings. He's proven to be one of the most consistent players on Tour in just over a year's worth of service time, but as of yet has failed to show the high-end upside in fields as strong as this one. That is bound to change at some point given his talent and rock-solid ball-striking profile. He ranks 7th in strokes gained: approach, 13th in strokes gained: off the tee, and 16th in birdies or better gained.
Ryan Palmer ($7,600 | +9000) - Palmer has finished inside the top 15 in three of his last four starts, and he ranks sixth in total strokes gained in his last eight rounds. He is solid across the board, ranking 22nd in strokes gained: off the tee, 23rd in strokes gained: approach, and 24th in birdies or better gained. He has had a strong season dampened mostly by a view disastrous holes, but he was within striking distance to start the year in Hawaii and showed well in two events since where the winners ran away and minimized how well he played.
Jason Kokrak ($7,500 | +8000) - Kokrak's last eight rounds are about as good as you'll find in this price range -- 65, 70, 68, 68, 67, 67, 63, 69. That's led to consecutive top-15s in which he's gotten it done with his irons, gaining 4.5 strokes via approaches at THE NORTHERN TRUST last time out. Long term, he ranks 8th in strokes gained: off the tee and 28th in strokes gained: approach.
Cameron Champ ($7,500 | +8500) - A missed cut last week should get people off Champ, who previously had been playing quite well with back to back top 25s in strong fields. He gained just 0.4 strokes off the tee in his two rounds at TPC Boston, his second-worst tournament off the tee in a year. He ranks 2nd in that stat long term and 14th in birdies or better gained. Olympia Fields is set up to challenge golfers with blind shots and fairway bunkers in typical landing zones, but Champ may well bomb it past those trouble spots and have a wedge in hand for most of the week.
Brendon Todd ($7,400 | +12000) - Put aside the stats for a moment and think on the narrative of this comeback story. Todd was 522nd in the world before winning back-to-back events last fall, and he now sits at 43rd in the rankings and has a strong chance to play in the TOUR Championship. Despite some poor results the last two times out, he had three consecutive top 25s in strong fields before that. He is a fairway-and-green machine when he clicks.
Brendan Steele ($6,600 | +19000) - Steele ranks 17th in strokes gained: approach and 28th in birdies or better gained, and he has three top 25s in his last five events. Four top-15 finishes this year showcase his upside down in this range.
Joel Dahmen ($6,500 | +17000) - Dahmen was T10 at the PGA Championship and T20 in Memphis the week before, so a missed cut after two rounds of 70 won't worry us too much. He is 18th in strokes gained: off the tee and 26th in strokes gained: approach.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.