DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: RBC Heritage
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
|Key Stats for the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links|
|Greens In Regulation Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Around the Green|
|Total Strokes Gained in Windy Conditions|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted. Note well that this sample may vary widely from player to player, but focusing on a sufficient period of form is even more desirable after a long layoff.
Rory McIlroy (DraftKings Price: $11,300 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +1100) - McIlroy shot one of the worst rounds of the day Sunday to fade out of contention and post just his third worldwide finish outside the top 10 since the Open Championship in July. That tumble down the leaderboard serves a purpose unique for Rory this week -- he may actually be sneaky. With the whole world telling us how beefy Bryson DeChambeau ($10,700 | +1400) will bend these short, strategic tracks to his will, it seems to have been forgotten that McIlroy is one of the longest players on Tour. Stats-wise, you know the drill by now. He's first in everything, even in the wind.
Sungjae Im ($9,700 | +2900) - Here is Im priced among the best in the world, just an unstoppable machine who quietly turned 22 years old during the COVID-19 pandemic. He followed the win with a 3rd and a T10, and over the past 12 months, he's missed just two cuts. He lacks the length of the very best players in the world, but he still gains off the tee thanks to his accuracy (20th in fairways gained). He truly has no real weakness in his game, and in a limited sample, he's been just fine in the wind, as he ranks 35th in the field. Im missed the cut in his first trip to Harbour Town Golf Links last year, but he did the same at Colonial and posted a rock-solid 10th last week.
Hideki Matsuyama ($9,500 | +2700) - Last seen bursting out to a first-round lead at TPC Sawgrass, Matsuyama makes his return to action this week hoping to pick up where he left off. He'll find an altogether different challenge this week, but one that he should nevertheless be up for. Hideki ranks fourth in strokes gained: around the green, sixth in greens in regulation gained, and seventh in strokes gained in windy conditions. His only course record is a missed cut in 2014, and while his ballstriking profile doesn't help him here quite as much as it does elsewhere, the chipping prowess he's shown over the last year should certainly come in handy.
Justin Rose ($9,200 | +2900) - Many will credit an equipment change for Rose's great start out of the layoff, resulting in a third-place finish at Colonial. But in addition to the 6.5 strokes he gained tee to green, he also gained 5.6 putting. While we often look at isolated putting performance as outlier results, Rose is one of those players who builds off success in each round and gains confidence in his entire game as he piles up strong results. At his devastating best in 2018, he was gaining in all facets and getting major results with the short stick. Throw in wind performance (25th), and now might be the time to buy Rose before the stats catch up.
Patrick Reed ($8,800 | +2700) - As we dip into this range, we start to see some incredible value open up. Given what we know about DFS golf generally and Harbour Town specifically, we should pay particular attention to ownership and unique lineup construction. While we often think of ownership in terms of large-field tournaments, diversifying in head to head matchups is more important than ever. Reed never draws outrageous ownership because, well, frankly a lot of people think he's a jerk (or worse). But the results speak for themselves, with top 10s in half of his last 18 starts, including two wins. He has a limited history at Harbour Town, with just a T71, T48, and MC from 2013-2015, but he's in great form and is 14th in strokes gained in windy conditions.
Matt Kuchar ($8,300 | +4200) and Tony Finau ($8,200 | +5000) - Lumping these two together because they are potentially two of the highest owned players on the slate. Kuchar and Finau fit just about any lineup combination. Match a $10k+ stud with both and you have plenty of money to fill out your lineup, or build a balanced roster with quality options all around these two and raise your cash game floor. Kuchar will draw more by virtue of his stellar course history with a win in 2014 and runner up last year among his strong finishes. Cash games aside, try to go contrarian with other roster spots or leave cash on the table to avoid duplication.
Shane Lowry ($7,800 | +6000) - Lowry burned us last week when conditions were calm, and he can be deployed this week at low ownership, especially if the wind looks like it's going to be a factor. He is 6th in strokes gained in the wind, 21st in strokes gained: around the green, and 30th in greens in regulation gained. He was T3 here last year.
Billy Horschel ($7,700 | +8000) - After giving off sleeper vibes last week and coming up with a meh T38, we'll jump on Horschel here at a better fit and without the ownership bump. He is solid in what we are looking for here, ranking 16th in fairways gained, 23rd in strokes gained in the wind, and 25th in greens in regulation gained. He was T5 here in 2018, and overall he's made the cut six times in seven tries.
Ian Poulter ($7,600 | +6000) - Poulter popped up on the leaderboard early in the week before settling into a T29 finish, staying on trend with the form he showed in Florida before the break (T27 at the Honda Classic and T32 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational). At this price, he offers a steady hand to a cash lineup and likely won't be owned so much that he becomes prohibitive in tournaments. He is 17th in the wind and 31st in strokes gained: around the green. He has made the cut all nine times he's played Harbour Town, including four top 20s in the past five years.
Rory Sabbatini ($7,500 | +8000) - Sabs ranks 15th in strokes gained in the wind and is well suited to this style of course. It's no surprise he has five top 10s here in his career. He also is well suited to our comp course in Colonial, where in addition to his T14 last week he has three more top 10s in the four years before. Looking further back, he won at Colonial in 2007. Wrapping up his stats, he is a solid 39th in both strokes gained: around the green and greens in regulation gained.
Charles Howell ($6,900 | +15000) - Howell ranks 22nd in both strokes gained: around the green and greens in regulation gained, and he is 33rd in strokes gained in the wind. After a solid 2019, he started 2020 off right with a T12 at the Sony Open but has been mostly a dud since then, with his T49 last week at Colonial his next best finish.
Danny Willett ($6,800 | +17000) - It's pretty barren down here, but we can find some class with the former Masters champion who quietly got his form in line in 2019. We like him especially in windy conditions, most recently gutting out a T18 at Bay Hill.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.