DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: The Honda Classic
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
|Key Stats for the Honda Classic at the Champion Course at PGA National|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Tommy Fleetwood (DraftKings Price: $11,600 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: +1200) - Don't look so shocked to see Fleetwood leading the way this week. Something about the Florida climate suits this Englishman, as he's put up some of his best results in the Southeast and particularly on bermuda. He's yet to win on the PGA Tour, but over the past three years, he has top 10s at PGA National, Bay Hill (twice), TPC Sawgrass (twice), and TPC Southwind. Fleetwood does not light up the stats, but he is a model of consistency and is one of the most talented overall golfers in this field. He has not missed a cut on the PGA Tour since the 2018 Wells Fargo Championship, a span of 30 events.
Brooks Koepka ($11,200 | +1100) - We know about the major championships and the supposed lack of "desire" Koepka brings to non-majors, but a T2 last year and skipping the WGC payday last week makes him the man to beat this week nonetheless. We all know about his lethal all around game -- first in total strokes gained and birdies or better gained, fourth in proximity gained, and eighth in strokes gained: approach -- but particularly of note is that he's 15th in putting on bermuda greens. Coming off injury and out of the No. 1 ranking, Koepka seems just as likely to blitz the field as he is to mail it in, but if his game is on, no one can touch him.
Viktor Hovland ($9,500 | +2700) - Hovland is fresh off his first career PGA Tour victory in Puerto Rico and is brimming with confidence, ready to take on a full field. We should not sell short what he and his fellow wunderkinds have accomplished -- Hovland, Matthew Wolff ($7,700 | +5500), and Collin Morikawa (not in the field) have all proven worthy of the hype, with each earning a PGA win in their first nine months as professionals. Hovland is arguably the most talented, and he'll need to continue on this trajectory to catch Padraig Harrington's attention for a potential spot on the European Ryder Cup team. Hovland is second in proximity gained, second in strokes gained: approach, and fifth in birdies or better gained.
Billy Horschel ($9,200 | +2700) - Horschel is prone to hot streaks, and with consecutive top 10s and a transition to bermuda, there is no reason to think he can't replicate that output this week in Florida. Billy Ho ranks 17th in strokes gained: tee to green, 18th in putting on bermuda, and 23rd in birdies or better gained. He has three top 20s (and one missed cut) in the past four years at PGA National. He gained over nine strokes with the putter last year en route to a T16 finish.
Daniel Berger ($8,900 | +2900) - No doubt a popular name and viable cash game consideration this week, Berger has been knocking on the door lately and now moves to his best putting surface. With back-to-back top 10s at the Waste Management Phoenix Open and AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, Berger is in prime form and finally back to good health. He was runner-up here back in 2015, and after two missed cuts, he's finished T29 in 2018 and T36 last year. He has only ever won at TPC Southwind, another Southeast course with bermuda greens, so it's not like he packs a ton of win equity. But he will be a name to watch here and in the coming weeks.
J.T. Poston ($8,600 | +5500) - Poston has played well for quite a while now, and he made the most of his spike week with a win at the Wyndham Championship. He has just one other top 10 in the past 12 months, but he's still been a reliable option with 21 of 29 cuts made. He profiles well for the Honda and has played fine at PGA National in the past, with a T36 last year and T27 in 2017. He is 9th in birdies or better gained, 9th in putting on bermuda, and 21st in strokes gained: approach.
Ian Poulter ($8,500 | +6000) - Poulter bailed on the alternate field in Puerto Rico to get set for Florida, and he'll tee it up at the Honda for his 2020 debut on the PGA Tour. He finished inside the top 20 at both the CJ CUP and the ZOZO Championship. He withdrew in Shanghai with a wrist injury and stumbled to the end of the year. He's bounced back with two more top 20s in Dubai and Saudi Arabia, so the form and injury don't appear to be a concern at the moment. His 50-round sample goes back pretty far, but he ranks seventh in birdies or better gained. He has a home in Florida and will need a strong season to make it back to the Ryder Cup team.
Harris English ($7,800 | +6000) - Another golfer who is thrilled to see his favored bermudagrass, English posted four top 10s in the swing season before stumbling on the dreaded poa annua out west. He was T48 at the American Express and T71 at the Farmers, losing strokes on the greens in both events before a solid T16 in Phoenix. Three weeks off will be good for the oft-injured English, who ranks 10th in putting on bermuda. He is solid if contradictory on the peripheral stats, ranking 3rd in greens in regulation gained but just 95th in strokes gained: approach. He was T12 here last year, his best career finish at PGA National.
Vaughn Taylor ($7,600 | +9000) - Taylor hasn't exactly lit it up at PGA National in his career, most recently finishing T59, T59, and missed cut the past three years. But his game should line up well given the current form, as he ranks 6th in putting on bermuda, 9th in proximity, 17th in birdies or better gained, and 22nd in strokes gained: approach. He has four top 15s in his last seven starts, including a T13 his last time out at the Genesis Invitational.
Russell Knox ($7,600 | +7000) - Knox is one of the best approach players in this field, ranking third in proximity gained and fifth in strokes gained: approach. He will be happy for a change of scenery after two missed cuts, but the Scot was rock solid leading up to them, with nine straight made cuts and five finishes inside the top 30. At this price, a made cut and some scoring along the way are an easy path to value, especially in cash games. He is hardly known for his putting acumen, but Knox is still a plus bermuda player. Despite ranking 76th in strokes gained: putting in his last 50 rounds on bermuda greens, he does rank 13th in total strokes gained over that span. So even if he's not rolling it well, Knox still gets the job done on courses like this one, where he has two top fives to his name.
Brian Harman ($7,300 | +10000) - With just one missed cut in his last 12 starts, Harman has been a consistent and gaining in all the right areas. He is 13th in scrambling gained, 15th in proximity gained, 22nd in birdies or better gained, and 24th in strokes gained: approach. He's started hot over the past few tournaments before fading over the weekend, including a Sunday 75 in Phoenix that saw him lose 6.1 strokes putting.
Cameron Tringale ($7,100 | +10000) - Like Harman, Tringale has carried good form from the summer and fall into consistent cut-making but little else in the early part of 2020. He has just one missed cut in his past 11 events, and he ranks 11th in strokes gained: approach, 14th in scrambling gained, and 18th in total strokes gained. Many will be on Sam Burns ($7,100 | +6500) at this price point, and even though "Bermuda Burns" is worthy of his nickname, tournament players unwilling to commit to a putting-only play at this price can pivot to Tringale.
Nick Watney ($6,900 | +15000) - Watney is solid across the board, ranking 22nd in putting on bermuda, 24th in birdies or better gained, 32nd in strokes gained: approach and scrambling gained, and 38th in proximity gained. He's made the cut in each of his five trips to PGA National, including two top 25s. He has putted poorly on poa over the past few starts, including three consecutive missed cuts. His last time on bermuda was at the RSM Classic in the fall, where he finished T14.
Brian Stuard ($6,700 | +21000) - Stuard has been hot and cold at PGA National in his career, with four top 30s and three missed cuts in seven tries. He had a few good finishes in the fall and finished T23 at Riviera thanks to a hot putter. Historically he is better on bermuda, and he ranks 30th in putting on those surfaces in this field. He's also 7th in proximity gained, 18th in scrambling gained, and 37th in approach.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.