Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am

In a fairly light field, how should you be handling the studs at Pebble Beach this week?

By now, you've probably dabbled in daily fantasy sports, but if not, don't worry. Now is a great time to start, especially with FanDuel's daily fantasy golf offering.

Golf can be one of the most exciting DFS sports to follow, as tournaments span four days and allow ample time to prepare each week. It's a great balance between time to research and time spent tracking your team.

But whether you're brand new to the PGA or daily fantasy sports in general, we have you covered -- and we have daily fantasy golf projections and lineup building tools, too.

Let's take a look at some golfers to target this week.

Key Stats

Key Stats for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at
Pebble Beach Golf Links,
Monterey Peninsula CC,
Spyglass Hill Golf Club
Strokes Gained: Approach
Greens in Regulation
Par 4 Scoring
Birdie or Better Rate
Strokes Gained: Putting on Poa

We get strokes gained data for two of the four rounds at this course: the two at Pebble Beach. Monterey Peninsula and Spyglass Hill don't provide strokes gained data. So that's never fun, but what we do know is that we should trust strokes gained: approach, and that's always a safe feeling.

For the pro-am format, the course won't play as tough as it did for the U.S. Open, and for that reason, it's probably not the best idea to put significant weight in U.S. Open performance from last year.

The winning score hovers around 19-under par, so birdies matter, and the way to get birdies is getting greens in regulation and converting putts. Greens in regulation gained and then putting performance (poa greens this week) are also stats that matter.

For a more detailed breakdown on the course, check out our course primer from Mike Rodden.

Stats cited below come from FantasyNational and include the past 50 rounds on the PGA Tour unless noted. Ranks are among the field.

Best of the Best

Dustin Johnson (FanDuel Salary: $12,400 | PaddyPower Win Odds: +550) - Johnson is the class of the field here, and his November woes are long forgotten after a 7th at the Tournament of Champions and a 2nd last week in the Saudi International. Johnson also has made 9 of 10 cuts at the pro-am and is the owner of six top-fives in that span.

Patrick Cantlay ($12,000 | +1000) - Cantlay has been every bit as good as Johnson since the start of last year and is well worth considering a two-stud build. Cantlay ranks second in the field in strokes gained: approach and is the field leader in birdie or better rate gained. The main concern is modest form in this format (35th in 2018 and 48th in 2017).

Matthew Fitzpatrick ($11,000 | +2200) - Fitzpatrick may seem overpriced, but he has three top-10s in his past four events, including a second in Abu Dhabi of late. Fitzpatrick ranks 20th in approach in our 50-round PGA Tour sample and was 33rd last year on the European Tour. He's worth the salary here.

Others to Consider:
Paul Casey ($11,700 | +1600) - Just behind DJ and Cantlay in recent stats with two straight top-eight finishes at this event.
Viktor Hovland ($10,700 | +3000) - A bounce-back candidate at a place where he won the 2018 U.S. Amateur.
Daniel Berger ($10,300 | +4000) - A four-year layoff at Pebble's Pro-Am format but has played the weekend three straight events, including a ninth last week.

Mid-Range Options

Russell Knox ($10,000 | +4000) - Knox is fourth in strokes gained: approach and third in greens in regulation gained. Knox enters having played the weekend in four straight events (37th or better in all four), and he has finished top-15 in two straight years at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Adam Hadwin ($9,900 | +6000) - Hadwin ranks fifth in strokes gained: putting on poa greens over a 93-round sample, and the Canadian is 10th in greens in regulation gained and 15th in strokes gained: approach over our 50-round sample. He was 18th here last year and 39th in 2017.

Kevin Streelman ($9,100 | +8000) - Streelman has fared very well at the Pebble Beach trio of courses and actually ranks second in greens in regulation gained at the three courses since 2012. Streelman has missed four of his past five cuts, including two of three over the past month, but he has been about field average in them and looks primed to make the 54-hole cut en route to a strong value performance.

Others to Consider:
Jim Furyk ($9,600 | +6600) - Really good greens in regulation numbers at this week's courses; the big issue is a layoff.
Vaughn Taylor ($9,400 | +5500) - Remains relevant despite a missed cut last week. Streaky irons are cold right now but can bounce back any time at an event he's won.
Pat Perez ($9,200 | +9000) - Tons of event knowledge and three straight made cuts at cut events; very few strong values this week.

Low-Priced Picks

Nick Taylor ($8,700 | +15000) - Taylor has finished 30th, 10th, cut, and 28th since 2016 at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am and has a balanced -- not great -- stats profile. He's 67th in approach and 9th in greens in regulation gained, a good start for a value. He's third in cut odds in my simulations among golfers priced below $9,000.

Aaron Wise ($8,800 | +10000) - Wise is the second-most likely sub-$9,000 golfer to make the cut in my simulations. Wise's irons aren't anything to write home about (83rd), but he can score (4th in birdie or better rate) and is 5th in greens in regulation gained. He has a 15th here two years ago in his only try.

Cameron Tringale ($8,500 | +12500) - Tringale has been a value target for a while now, and he is just that again. Tringale has strong poa putting splits, and -- you probably guessed -- is the most likely cheap golfer to play Sunday in my simulations. Tringale has been a disappointing cut, 47th, and 57th here the past three years but is golfing significantly better now than he was for any of those tries.

Others to Consider:
Harry Higgs ($9,000 | +10000) - A star last weekend, Higgs has two straight top-25s with very hot-or-cold irons.
Lanto Griffin ($8,800 | +9000) - Two straight missed cuts could be the sign he's cooling off but larger sample paints him as underpriced.
Harold Varner ($8,500 | +12500) - Lack of event history is scary and three straight missed cuts but he can score at a cheap price over 54 holes.

Risk/Reward Plays

D.J. Trahan ($8,100 | +20000) - Gained strokes with approach in three straight events and back on his least-worst putting surface.
Doc Redman ($7,900 | +15000) - Four straight events with positive approach play with great cut odds for the price despite no event form.
Tyler McCumber ($7,600 | +17500) - Hasn't played the format but does show promising iron play for the salary.
Peter Malnati ($7,100 | +30000) - An above-baseline golfer over a year-long sample priced just $100 above minimum salary after three straight missed cuts.