DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: 3M Open
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities.
|Key Stats for the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities|
|Strokes Gained: Tee to Green|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Birdies or Better Gained|
|Strokes Gained: Par 5s|
|Proximity Gained from 175+ yards (Prox 175-200 and 200+ weighted evenly)|
Let's get to the picks. For details on why these stats stand out this week, check out the course primer.
Stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Brooks Koepka (DraftKings Price: $11,900 | FanDuel Sportsbook Win Odds: 7/1) - You'd be forgiven for assuming Koepka is a candidate to sleepwalk through this event and either duck the cut or withdraw if he starts poorly, but he is so head-and-shoulders above the competition that he cannot just be dismissed out of hand. Typically rostering the highest-priced golfer on the board increases your risk profile in the other slots because the average salary is so low, but with plenty of value in the low $7,000's and even into the $6,000's this week, Koepka is very much in play. He is first in birdies or better gained and strokes gained: par 5s. second in strokes gained: tee to green, seventh in strokes gained: approach, third in proximity gained from 175 yards or farther.
Jason Day ($10,900 | 11) - Will FanDuel Sportsbook post odds on where Jason Day is photographed after withdrawing from this event? You've gotta think the Mall of America is a big favorite over a Twins game or perhaps Prince's house. If Day decides to stick it out, though, he'll find that TPC Twin Cities is right in his wheelhouse as he ranks first in total strokes gained on courses measuring 7,400 yards or longer. While the safer targets are ball strikers, DFS players would be wise to zero in on Day if they want a pivot play who manages to score even if he's unexciting with his approaches (just 64th in strokes gained: approach and 43rd in proximity gained from 175+). He is second in birdies or better gained and eighth on par 5s, and most importantly he is first in DraftKings points gained.
Bryson DeChambeau ($10,500 | 14) - After a mid-season lull that saw him miss consecutive cuts for the first time in two years, DeChambeau has shown signs of life the last few times out that signal a return to the form he showed to finish the 2018 season. He closed strong at the U.S. Open with a Sunday 69 and played well in three of the four rounds last time out at the Travelers Championship. He is tied with Koepka in 1st on par 5s, and he is 5th in birdies or better gained, 16th in strokes gained: tee to green, 21st in proximity gained (175+), and 24th in strokes gained: approach.
Viktor Hovland ($9,100 | 27) - Well that escalated quickly. Hovland is already the fifth highest odds to win in just his third PGA event as a professional, and it's hard to argue with the price. He is 4th in proximity gained (175+) and 12th in strokes gained: tee to green. Since finishing 12th in his swan song as an amateur at the U.S. Open, he's finished T54 and T13 in his first tries as a pro, including an electric Sunday 64 at the Rocket Mortgage Classic. Scrambling is really his only weakness at this stage of his young career, and if he keeps hitting greens he won't need to make magic around them. He is 15th in greens in regulation gained and 16th in strokes gained: approach.
Keegan Bradley ($8,800 | 33) - Coming off a historic putting week at the Travelers Championship -- he gained a field-best 9.8 strokes on the greens after losing at least 2 strokes putting in 11 straight events -- Bradley will try to carry some confidence with the short stick from the Northeast to the Midwest. If he can putt even field average he can easily contend in this field, as he has some of the best long-term ballstriking form on Tour. He ranks 1st in strokes gained: approach and proximity gained from 175+, and he is third in strokes gained: tee to green.
Ryan Moore ($8,700 | 42) - Moore missed the cut last week at $9,500, so while much of the field sees a price increase this week in a soft field, Moore comes at a discount and stands out immediately as a potential cash game play. His stats line up well, as he is 5th in strokes gained: approach, 18th in strokes gained: tee to green, 28th in birdies or better gained, and 30th on par 5s. He was T15 at the Travelers the week before his MC, and he hasn't had a worse tee to green performance in almost three years. He lost 4.7 strokes tee to green at Detroit Golf Club; the last time he lost at least 4.0 strokes tee to green was the 2018 Waste Management Phoenix Open, and his next time out he bounced back for a T9 finish at the Genesis Open.
Nate Lashley ($8,300 | 70) - Lashley is coming off the high of his first career win and could very well suffer the hangover effect, but that feeling among DFS players coupled with a huge price bump from his typical $6,000 range could actually make him a sneaky play at this price. He is 7th in strokes gained: approach, 17th on par 5s, 23rd in proximity gained (175+), and 25th in birdies or better gained. Going back to him makes sense given how well he played at a first-time PGA stop last week.
Low Priced Options
Nick Watney ($7,900 | 65) - After a hot start at the Rocket Mortgage Classic, Watney lost strokes tee to green in each of the final 3 rounds after having gained in 17 of his last 21 rounds dating back to the Wells Fargo Championship in early May. He is primed for a bounce back this week, and is always a target where there's a premium on par 5 scoring. He is 16th in strokes gained on par 5s and 12th in proximity gained from 175 yards or further.
Lucas Glover ($7,700 | 65) - This is an important week for Glover to right the ship, as he has missed back to back cuts for the first time in two years at the U.S. Open and Travelers Championship. Interesting enough, the last two consecutive MC's were at those exact two events in 2017. After being relegated to the Web.com Tour last summer, Glover crushed the weak fields on the junior circuit. This field is far from stacked with PGA royalty. He is sixth in strokes gained: tee to green, gaining in all facets of the game over a large enough sample to believe he can keep it up in a weak field.
Talor Gooch ($7,600 | 80) - Gooch pops immediately as a solid approach player who can score. He is 3rd in strokes gained: approach, 6th in birdies or better gained, 9th in proximity (175+) and 14th in strokes gained: par 5s. He has been pretty awful off the tee this season, having lost strokes in six of his last seven events. But with no par 4s over 500 yards he should be able to club down off the tee and play target golf from his key approach ranges. He's also third on par 3s between 200 and 225 yards, and three of the par 3s are between 197 and 228 yards.
Sung Kang ($7,500 | 80) - Kang has let DFS players down the last few times out thanks to an ice cold putter - he's lost 4.2, 2.5, and 6.2 strokes putting in the last three events. If he can perform just at his baseline level with the short stick, Kang should find himself in great position to return value at this price. He is one of the best stats cases in the $7,000 range, as he ranks 8th on par 5s, 11th in proximity gained (175+), 14th in strokes gained: tee to green, 16th in birdies or better gained, and 21st in strokes gained: approach.
Max Homa ($7,000 | 150) - Homa has fallen way too far for a recent PGA Tour winner. He has just two missed cuts since January and got his win at a long course that is much more difficult than TPC Twin Cities. He is 5th in proximity gained (175+) and 14th in strokes gained: approach. He should be a target in all formats this week.
Trey Mullinax ($6,900 | 190) - With plenty of distance off the tee, Mullinax should have no problem with the length at TPC Twin Cities and has been much better on approaches this year. After ranking 183rd on the Tour last year in strokes gained: approach, he's up to 53rd this year and ranks 25th in this field over his last 50 rounds. The other stats look good as well: 11th in strokes gained: par 5s, 29th in proximity gained (175+), and 30th in strokes gained: tee to green.
Adam Svensson ($6,300 | 500) - There are safer bets in the $6,000's -- Hank Lebioda and Bronson Burgoon were written up here for the Rocket Mortgage Classic and make sense this week for the same reasons. Svensson, on the other hand, has missed the cut in 5 straight events and 9 of his last 11 overall. He has lost strokes putting in all 11 of those events but has gained strokes tee to green in all but 1. There will come a week where he rolls a few in and pops off for a top 25 at next to no ownership. Why not this week?
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.