DraftKings Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Daily fantasy golf requires a new approach for each and every event.
The course and field change week after week, making no two contests alike. That means you need to refine your approach for each PGA Tour event to try to find golfers who are primed to excel for your daily fantasy golf lineups.
Each week, we have a course primer, and our daily fantasy golf projections and lineup builder can help you get started, but these golfers stand out specifically on DraftKings for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am.
|Key Stats for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am|
|Strokes Gained: Tee to Green|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Strokes Gained: Par 4s|
|Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)|
There are three courses in play this week, and golfers will rotate through Pebble Beach Golf Links, Spyglass HIlls Golf Club, and Monterey Peninsula Country Club before the 54-hole cut. The top 60 and ties will move on to play Pebble Beach GL again Sunday. For more information on the courses, check out the primer.
Putting can be the most variant aspect of an already variant game, so looking at long term success not just generally on poa greens but also in the key birdie-making (and, often, par-saving) range of 10-15 feet.
Let's get to the picks.
All stats are from Fantasy National Golf Club and are for golfers in the field over the last 50 rounds, unless otherwise noted.
Dustin Johnson (DraftKings Price: $11,400) - In the least shocking thing on numberFire today, Dustin Johnson is the headliner at this week's PGA event. Johnson is first in the field in strokes gained: tee to green, strokes gained: approach, birdies or better gained, bogeys avoided, and strokes gained: par 4s. He is 2nd in opportunities gained, 6th in strokes gained: par 5s, and 12th in strokes gained: putting on poa. Keep in mind these stats are just for DJ's rounds on the PGA Tour, so his two most recent events in strong fields on the European circuit -- a win at the Saudi International and a T16 at the Abu Dhabi HSBC Championship -- aren't even included in the sample. He also has quite possibly the best course form in the field, with four finishes of T4 or better in his last five tries here. DJ is locked in and primed for a huge season.
Tommy Fleetwood ($10,300) - Fleetwood makes his 2019 PGA Tour debut this week after a few Euro events to start the year. He had a few good finishes in Hong Kong (14th) and Dubai (16th), and he had a terrific 2018 on the PGA Tour. He has just one single finish outside the top-25 in his last 11 events, a stretch that includes five top-8 finishes. He is first in strokes gained: par 5's, fourth in strokes gained: tee to green, and fifth in strokes gained: par 4s. Fleetwood is 21st in approach, and while he is just 36th in opportunities gained, he is 2nd in birdies or better gained, so scoring is not a problem. While putting is not his strong suit, poa is his best surface. Overall, he's just 82nd in putting on poa, but he's actually 18th on that surface from 10-to-15 feet.
Patrick Cantlay ($9,800) - Cantlay is one of the best pure ball-strikers on Tour and unfortunately one of the worst putters. He is second in strokes gained: tee to green and third in both approach and par 4s. He is 11th in opportunities gained, and he pops in some evergreen auxiliary stats such as bogeys avoided (4th) and good drives gained (7th). Cantlay missed the cut at the Farmers last time out but has bounced back nicely each of the last two times he failed to make the weekend. He has just two missed cuts in the past two years and followed up both of them with a top-10 finish in his next event.
Adam Scott ($9,200) - Scott rode his trademark iron play and his hot new putting stroke to a second-place finish at the Farmers last time he teed it up. Scott led the field by gaining 7.5 strokes on approach, and coming into this event, only Johnson has gained more with his irons than Scott. The Aussie is also 2nd in strokes gained: par 5s, 8th tee to green, and 17th in opportunities gained. Poa is by far his preferred service, and he ranks 35th in strokes gained: putting on poa (14th on putts from 10-to-15 feet).
Chez Reavie ($9,000) - Reavie has started the year on another early-season hot streak, finishing 4th, 28th, and 3rd in his last three tournaments. He is 6th in strokes gained: approach, 9th on par 4s, and 13th in opportunities gained. After losing in a playoff at last year's Waste Management Phoenix Open, he came back and finished T2 at Pebble Beach. Look for him to stay in good form this week.
Shane Lowry ($8,800) - Lowry's PGA schedule is pretty limited, making his stats appear underwhelming: he is 21st in strokes gained: tee to green, 41st in strokes gained: approach, 45th on par 4s, and 56th in opportunities gained. He has not played on Tour since August, so his last 50 rounds go back much further than some of his peers. Lowry's Euro stats are much more encouraging, however, as he finished eighth in both strokes gained: tee to green and strokes gained: approach on the European Tour in 2018. He missed the cut in his last stateside appearance at the Wyndham, but before that, he carded back-to-back 12th place finishes at the PGA Championship and the RBC Canadian Open. He won in Abu Dhabi three weeks ago and followed it up with a T12 at Dubai.
Rafael Cabrera-Bello ($8,300) - Cabrera Bello is another primarily Euro player whose stats don't quite tell the entire story. Rafa's stats are actually quite good anyway: he is 7th in strokes gained: approach, 9th in strokes gained: tee to green, and 10th on par 4s. He is just 45th in opportunities gained, but he is 7th in birdies or better gained. He has six finishes of T17 or better in his last nine PGA events. RCB was 10th is scoring average and 17th in strokes gained: tee to green on the European Tour in 2018. Like Lowry, he is a poor putter but plays well in windy conditions.
J.B. Holmes ($7,900) - Holmes is seventh in strokes gained: tee to green, with most of that weight coming from his strong off the tee numbers. While driving is not as important as iron play here this week, Holmes' overall ball-striking profile is good, and he is a respectable 37th in approach. He is also 9th in opportunities gained and 11th on both par 4s and par 5s. He missed the cut here last year but had three straight top-25's at Pebble before that.
Andrew Putnam ($7,900) - Putnam brings a solid overall game into this event, and a missed cut last week plus a no-man's-land price for those looking to build a lineup with DJ and another $9,000-plus golfer should keep his ownership in check. Putnam is 10th in strokes gained: approach, 27th in strokes gained: par 4s, and 28th in strokes gained: tee to green. He is a solid putter, ranking a decent 46th on poa, but he's an encouraging 20th in the birdie-making range of 10-to-15 feet.
Joel Dahmen ($7,200) - Dahmen is fifth in strokes gained: approach and sixth in both tee to green and opportunities gained. He finished ninth at the Farmers and then missed the cut at the Waste Management Phoenix Open. Bet on him getting back on track at the California course.
Corey Conners ($7,100) - Like Dahmen, Conners is an elite ball-striker whose putter can carry him either to a podium finish or an early exit. He is first in opportunities gained, fifth in strokes gained: tee to green, and eighth in both strokes gained: approach and strokes gained: par 4s. Now for the bad news: he is 140th in this field in strokes gained: putting on poa.
Jimmy Walker (7,100) - Walker pops mostly on putting and course history. He is just 44th in strokes gained: approach and below average on both par 4s and par 5s, but he is 10th in strokes gained: putting on poa and has done well here in the past regardless of lead-in form. He won this event in 2014 and has three other finishes of T21 or better since then. He finished eighth here last year despite coming in with lead-in finishes of T63, MC, MC, MC, MC, MC.
Richy Werenski ($6,900) - Werenski was on a roll in swing season before cratering once the calendar turned over to 2019. He was 60th last week and missed his prior two cuts, but before that, he finished top-25 at the RSM, Mayakoba, and Shriners. His stats are dinged because his best finish -- T3 at the Mayakoba Golf Classic -- does not track strokes gained: data, but he is still a respectable 30th in strokes gained: tee to green and 38th in approach. He is 85th in strokes gained: putting on poa but is 18th in the 10-to-15 foot range.
Hank Lebioda ($6,500) - For those want to get really funky in this range, Lebioda's price point offers an opportunity to squeeze in another high-priced golfer. He has just 19 rounds of tracked data, but he has gained strokes tee to green on 69.2% of those rounds, a top-seven mark in this field, which is a pretty strong group. If the sample is limited to just everyone's last 12 rounds, Lebioda is 12th in birdies or better gained, 17th in strokes gained: tee to green, and 22nd on par 4s.
Mike Rodden is not a FanDuel employee. In addition to providing DFS gameplay advice, Mike Rodden also participates in DFS contests on FanDuel using his personal account, username mike_rodden. While the strategies and player selections recommended in his articles are his personal views, he may deploy different strategies and player selections when entering contests with his personal account. The views expressed in his articles are the author's alone and do not necessarily reflect the views of FanDuel.