Daily Fantasy Golf Helper: WGC-Mexico
By now, you've probably dabbled in daily fantasy sports, but if not, don't worry. Now is a great time to start, especially with FanDuel now offering a revamped version of PGA golf.
Golf can be one of the most exciting DFS sports to follow, as tournaments span four days and allow ample time to prepare each week, so be sure to familiarize yourself with the basics of building a lineup on FanDuel, the scoring setup, and advanced stats to know about the PGA.
But whether you're brand new to the PGA or daily fantasy sports in general, we have you covered.
Let's take a look at some golfers to target this week.
|Key Stats for the WGC-Mexico at Club de Golf Chapultepec|
|Strokes Gained: Approach|
|Par 5 Scoring|
|Birdie or Better Rate|
|Strokes Gained: Putting (on Bentgrass/Poa)|
For more information on why these are the stats to target, check out our course primer.
Best of the Best
Justin Thomas (FanDuel Price: $12,500 | bet365 Win Odds: 8) - It's not the gutsiest pick to go with last week's winner, but with Dustin Johnson and Jon Rahm -- last year's top-two here -- on the board, Thomas could go a little overlooked. While DJ and Rahm are strong picks in their own right, approach play is the most vital stat of the week. Per FantasyGolfMetrics, Thomas ranks second in the field in strokes gained: approach over the past 12 weeks. DJ and Rahm are 32nd and 37th, respectively. Last year, Thomas picked up 6.01 strokes on these greens and broke par on 34.7% of his holes, and he didn't really take full advantage of the par 5s.
Jordan Spieth ($11,900 | 12) - Spieth is another bet on approach over distance this week. Spieth ranks second in tee-to-green play over the past 12 events, ninth in approach, and seventh on par 5s. A year ago, he gained strokes both in approach and on the greens at Chapultepec, while earning a birdie or better on 27.8% of holes. Among 36 golfers who are in the field and who played here last year, Spieth ranks fifth in par 5 scoring.
Sergio Garcia ($11,400 | 28) - Sergio's recent form is thin, with just three events in the past 12 weeks, only one of which was on the PGA Tour (T33 at The Honda Classic). Garcia finished T32 in Dubai and won the SMBC Singapore Open over the past six weeks, though. Garcia's approach play should put him in contention here. A year ago, Garcia gained 1.69 strokes from tee to green but just 0.22 on approach shots. He's got a long history on bentgrass and poa, so he should be on your radar if you're looking to go with someone outside the elite tier.
Tommy Fleetwood ($11,300 | 16) - Fleetwood should also be on your list in this range. He's 14th in approach and 7th tee to green over the past 12 weeks on the PGA Tour. His past six finishes read 4th, 37th, 6th, 1st, 3rd, 6th. Unfortunately, the 37th came at the Genesis Open at Riviera CC, a close course comp to Chapultepec. However, he played here a year ago and gained the second-most strokes tee to green.
Paul Casey ($10,900 | 30) - Casey is just so consistent. Since the 2016 US Open, Casey's missed cuts came only at the 2016 Open and the 2017 Sony Open. His most recent finishes are 49th, 8th, 9th, 11th, 19th, 7th, 5th. The 49th was at the Genesis, again at Riviera, but Casey ranked fourth in approach strokes gained here a year ago among returning participants. For tournaments, you'll want more of a birdie maker (17th over the past 12 weeks), but in cash games, you're almost locking in a top-15 performer here.
Tony Finau ($10,700 | 50) - Finau didn't play Chapultepec last year but did earn a T2 at the Genesis two weeks ago (despite losing 2.58 strokes on the green). Finau is 10th in approach over the past 12 weeks and is 8th in the field in birdie or better rate on bentgrass and poa courses.
Patrick Cantlay ($10,000 | 33) - Cantlay sits 13th tee to green over the past 12 weeks, 16th in approach, 11th in birdie or better rate, and 10th in par 5 scoring. He'll be a debutant at Chapultepec, but he finished fourth at the Genesis two weeks back.
Bubba Watson ($9,600 | 35) - Bubba won the Genesis and is clearly trending back up after a change in his golfball usage. A year ago at Chapultepec, Watson lost 0.70 strokes tee to green and 0.42 on approach shots. He gained 3.01 on the greens, though, and is worth a shot given the price, course fit, and recent improvement.
Thomas Pieters ($9,500 | 40) - Pieters picked up strokes tee to green (2.04), approach (1.71), and putting (3.02) last year at Chapultepec, en route to a T5. He had finished T2 at Riviera two weeks prior (with a missed cut in between) last time around. It's different in 2018, as he was 68th at the Genesis at Riviera but 13th last week. The recent form overall isn't necessarily outstanding (13th, 68th, 32nd, 5th, 58th, 11th), but the price isn't prohibitive, either, and he has upside at this type of track.
Dylan Frittelli ($8,800 | 60) - Frittelli owns six straight top-20 finishes (and 10 in his past 12). That includes a win and a second, for some upside (and his past three are 11th, 5th, 6th). He's cheap. There isn't too much data on Frittelli in terms of strokes gained on the PGA Tour, of course, but no course or field has looked to be a problem of late for the world's 44th-ranked golfer.
Xander Schauffele ($8,800 | 55) - Xander didn't play this event last year but was T9 at the Genesis Open two weeks ago. He's got the distance to take advantage of the par 5s (8th in the field over the past 12 weeks) and can score well (19th in birdie or better). Schauffele is a strong putter on bentgrass (5th in strokes gained: putting on bentgrass/poa courses in 26 events).
Joost Luiten ($7,600 | 110) - Luiten won the NBO Oman Open two weeks ago and was 11th at the Maybank Championship four weeks ago. He did play here last year and finished 25th. He actually gained 2.33 strokes tee to green but lost 6.10 on with the putter. Yikes. He did rank 45th in putts per GIR last year on the Euro Tour, though, so if you can stomach the risk, Luiten's low price could pay off in a big way.