Daily Fantasy Golf Helper for The Heritage
By now, you've probably dabbled in daily fantasy sports, but if not, don't worry. Now is a great time to start, especially with FanDuel now offering a brand new sport: PGA golf.
Golf can be one of the most exciting DFS sports to follow, as tournaments span four days and allow ample time to prepare each week, so be sure to familiarize yourself with the basics of building a lineup on FanDuel, the scoring setup, and advanced stats to know about the PGA.
But whether you're brand new to the PGA or daily fantasy sports in general, we have you covered.
Let's take a look at some golfers to target for The Heritage.
Stats to Target
Based on the course makeup and field for this week, these are some of the most vital stats to target. For a more detailed explanation why, check out our course primer for this week.
|Key Stats for the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town|
|Strokes Gained: Approach the Green|
|Par 4 Scoring|
So, who has the right combination of stats, recent form, course history, and salary this week?
Best of the Best
Branden Grace (FanDuel Price: $9,400) - The top of the FanDuel price pool isn't super strong, but that's primarily because of the weaker, post-Masters field. Nobody is blemish free, but if you're spending above $9,000, Grace warrants a look. He's the defending champion, and well, that's about it. He's 160th in driving accuracy this year, which has historically been bad news bears for the top 10 at this event, but he sits 109th in good drive percentage, so he makes up for missed fairways at least. The stats are iffy across the board, but Grace just scores really well from a fantasy perspective at Harbour Town, according to FantasyGolfMetrics.
Luke Donald ($8,700) - Donald also scores well here and has -- wait for it -- six top threes in his past eight events here. But like we saw with Grace, the stats just aren't there. Donald is 157th in driving accuracy on the tour and a worse 192nd in good drive percentage. Among players in the field, he sits 96th and 110th among 120 qualified players, respectively. He's 92nd in birdie or better percentage but 13th in strokes gained: around the green and 7th in strokes gained: putting. At this particular course, though, he’s fifth in the field by birdie or better since 2006, per FantasyGolfMetrics, and second in strokes gained: approach the green.
Kevin Kisner ($8,400) - What we should be considering this week is loading up on guys in the $8,000 range and fading the priciest options, as Matt Kuchar, Brandt Snedeker, and Jim Furyk all have some question marks. Kuchar and Snedeker haven't scored well here in the past even if they finished strong, and Furyk isn't playing all that well and is exorbitantly expensive on FanDuel ($9,200).
Kisner is 18th on the tour in driving accuracy and 50th in birdie or better, while also ranking 8th in strokes gained: approach the green. He finished 2nd here in 2015 but bookended that with a T38 and a T69 in 2014 and 2016, respectively. On the season, he's made 10 of 11 cuts, including 6 top 25s and 3 top 10s.
Adam Hadwin ($8,400) - Hadwin also has some fantastic current form, with a T36 at the Masters, a 6 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and win at the Valspar in his past three events. On the year, he's made 11 of 12 cuts with 6 top 25s. He also grades out well statistically, sitting 65th in accuracy and 12th in good drive percentage on the tour. He's also 4th in scrambling and bogey avoidance and 19th in birdie or better rate. Hadwin is also 29th in strokes gained: approach the green, and he stacks up as well as anyone statistically this week. He's 28/1 to win for a reason.
Tyrrell Hatton ($8,200) - To heck with it. Narrowing down your core is key to DFS, so exposure to too many options can be problematic. With the statistical profile of Grace and Donald, though, we're hitting on Hatton here in case you'd rather save and build a balance lineup. Hatton is 15th in the world golf rankings (highest of anyone in the field). He's 77th on tour in driving accuracy, which is usually good enough to compete here, though he's just 127th in good drive percentage. Where he really shines is in the strokes gained department. Hatton ranks eighth in the field in strokes gained: tee to green, third off the tee, second in approach, and first in putting. He's a worrisome 113th around the green, but we're weighting approach more this week. He missed the cut at the Masters but was top 25 in all five cuts he's made, as well as top 10 three times on tour this season.
Russell Henley ($7,900) - While Furyk is probably overpriced on FanDuel, Henley looks to be a clear bargain. He is $10,700 on DraftKings, placing him behind only Kuchar at $11,500. On FanDuel, he's tied for 14th in salary. Henley ranks near the top of the field in nearly every key stat: driving accuracy (47th), good drive percentage (41st), greens in regulation (11th), scrambling (59th), birdie or better (7th), bogey avoidance (14th), strokes gained: tee to green (14th), off the tee (17th) approach the green (20th), and putting (5th). He should be quite popular.
Francesco Molinari ($7,900) - Molinari makes for a pivot option from Henley at the same price point. He ranks 2nd in the field in driving accuracy and 22nd in good drive percentage. He pairs that with top-10 ranks in birdie or better (9th), strokes gained: tee to green (5th), and strokes gained: approach (1st). He's 40/1 to win, so he's not a long shot by any means. Molinari has made 9 of 10 PGA Tour cuts this year, finishing top 25 in seven of those and top 10 in 3. Think long and hard about turning some Henley shares into Molinari shares in tournaments this week.
Pat Perez ($7,200) - Perez is a current form target. He finished T18 at the Masters and T17 at the WGC-Match Play and Arnold Palmer Invitational. On the year, he has made 12 of 13 cuts, with a win at the OHL Classic, a third-place finish the following week at the Tournament of Champions. In all, he has four top 10s and eight top 25s. His only “missed cut” was a withdrawal at the Waste Management Open. Perez is second in greens in regulation and fourth in the field in strokes gained: approach the green in four events here, per FantasyGolfMetrics. Perez also ranks 3rd in the field in birdie or better on the year, 19th in bogey avoidance, and 10th in strokes gained: around the green.
Webb Simpson ($6,800) - Simpson ranks just inside the top 100 in driving accuracy on the year (97th). In the field, he's 63rd (and 62nd in good drive percentage). Simpson also grades out top 10 in scrambling (ninth), strokes gained: tee to green (ninth), approach the green (fourth), and around the green (seventh). He has also made six of seven cuts at Harbour Town, which eases the pain of his recent history: a missed cut at the Masters, T58 at WGC-Match Play, missed cut at the Arnold Palmer. He's a tournament-only pick.
Bryson DeChambeau ($6,300) - In this range, nobody is safe, but DeChambeau earned a T4 here last year and is an arbitrage pick if you also play on DraftKings, where he's priced at $8,300. He's 40/1 to win outright, and of the other five players with those odds, he's the only one priced below $7,200. He's turning things around after five missed cuts (if you count a withdrawal at the Genesis Open) and finished T27 at the Valspar Championship, T2 at the Puerto Rico Open, and T44 at the Shell Houston Open. DeChambeau picked up 5.539 strokes approaching the green last year at this event, too.
Aaron Baddeley ($5,300) - Baddeley has made 9 of 11 cuts here since 2006 and averages a strong 43.6 FanDuel points in the first two rounds, per FantasyGolfMetrics. A large part of that is his birdie or better rate, which is seventh in the field here at Harbour Town. Baddeley is priced at $7,100 on DraftKings, and he looks to be a viable value pick on FanDuel.
Boo Weekley ($5,200) - Weekley just hits fairways. He's 11th on the tour in accuracy and 31st in good drive percentage. He also sits 77th in strokes gained: approach the green, but struggles on the greens (208th). He's 10 for 10, though, in terms of making the cut here, and he averages 41.0 FanDuel points in Rounds 1-2 in that span. You could do worse with a punt play for sure.
Vaughn Taylor ($5,500) - Taylor has made 5 of 8 cuts since 2006 here and 9 of 12 on the season. The three he missed were fairly tough fields (Pebble Beach, Genesis Open, and Honda Classic). Pebble Beach was a secondary cut, and the Genesis was a withdrawal. Taylor ranks 19th in the field in driving accuracy, 21st in good drive percentage, 22nd in greens in regulation, 11th in scrambling, 18th in bogey avoidance, and 16th in strokes gained: approach the green.