CS:GO Daily Fantasy Helper: DreamHack Masters Spring, 6/9/20
With a lot of traditional sports on hold for now, esports has taken the front seat in DFS, and we now have Counter-Strike: Global Offensive to play on FanDuel. Affectionately known as CS:GO, two teams of five players compete on each map until one team reaches 16 rounds. Most series are played as a best-of-three and will feature teams from the DreamHack Masters Spring 2020 in North America and Europe.
If you are new to esports DFS or CS:GO DFS, take a look at the introduction piece with a rundown of format and scoring. All matches are best-of-three, and players will receive a bonus for completing a 2-0 sweep.
The Bracket Stage is here and we have three matchups to breakdown from the DreamHack Masters European Spring event. Let's start by looking at the teams and their implied win probabilities based on current odds.
|Team||Implied Win Probability|
FaZe Clan come in as the largest favorite on the slate, while we see the other two matchups being very close. This could lead to some interesting ownership outcomes and leaves roster construction wide open.
NiP vs Astralis
NiP come into this series at the 13th ranked team in the world, but are the favorites of Astralis -- the 4th ranked team in the world. You might be wondering how the lower-ranked team are the favorites in this matchup? Well, Astralis are without two of their starters -- which has caused them to lose five of their last six matches.
NiP recently added hampus ($9,200) to their lineup, and since joining, they have played a total of 13 maps. In this 13-map sample size, Hampus has posted over 20 kills only two times, while having a positive kill-to-death differential only four times.
twist ($9,900) has also been struggling since hampus joined the lineup -- posting over 20 kills twice, while holding a positive kill-to-death differential five times. He isn't the most consistent option, and mainly, a secondary player for NiP.
REZ ($10,300) and nawwk ($11,700) have been the most consistent players for NiP in their recent matches. They have both posted 20 kills or more in 7 of their last 13 maps, with nawwk holding a positive differential on 9 of his last 13 maps.
On the Astralis side of things, JUGI ($9,400) and Snappi ($10,200) are the two new players in the lineup, both of whom have been struggling since joining the team. They are not strong fantasy options on this slate or until a stretch of strong results.
device ($11,900) is still the best player on Astralis -- despite some lackluster performances as of late, with 16 kills or fewer in four of his last eight maps. His upside remains in the 25+ kill range and can be confidentiality rostered on this three-game slate.
dupreeh ($9,800) has stepped up in recent matches after their roster changes and comes in with 19 kills or more in 7 of his last 12 maps. At his salary, he is one of the better point per dollar options on the slate. If Astralis end up winning this series, dupreeh will likely have a large role.
G2 vs Natus Vincere
If you are new to CS:GO or you are a long-time fan, you want to be watching this series -- it's going to be amazing. Natus Vincere are the number one team in the world, while G2 are the number two team in the world.
An elite matchup is what we have on our hands today and it shouldn't come as a surprise we are starting off with s1mple ($12,000), who is the most expensive player on the slate, and still the best player in the world. Over his last 20 maps, s1mple has posted 20 kills or more 14 times. That is hilariously good, and he has done that all while posting a negative kill-to-death differential only three times.
electronic ($10,400) isn't that far behind s1mple and has posted 20 kills or more 11 times in his last 20 maps played. electronic is the Robin to s1mple's Batman and present significant upside if you are able to roster them both.
Both Boombl4 ($8,800) and flamie ($8,700) are solid secondary players for Natus Vincere, having varying levels of production, but are under $9K and offer significant salary relief.
kennyS ($11,600) would be considered the 'best' player on G2, but he has been all over the place in recent matches. Over his last 20 maps, he has posted over 20 kills five times, but also been held to 15 kills or fewer seven times. Given the options in the top-tier, kennyS might be a fade at this price.
huNter ($11,000) and Nexa ($10,800) are nearly identical in price, but we see huNter come in with a much higher floor of points. His overall consistency is far safer compared to Nexa, but Nexa has flashed an equally high ceiling over the last month.
FaZe Clan vs BIG
There is no doubt FaZe are the favorites in this series and the better team overall, but BIG are no pushover.
FaZe Clan are led by the dynamic duo of NiKo ($11,800) and coldzera ($11,500), arguably two of the best players ever and two of the highest-upside options on this slate. Over the last month, they have played a total of 26 maps -- where NiKo is averaging 21.6 kills per map and coldzera averaging 19.5. These are two elite options, and considering they are heavy favorites, it's viable to roster them both.
Bymas ($9,600) has been a non-factor as of late and not worthy of a roster spot on this slate. broky ($11,000) has posted 20 kills or more in 11 of his last 20 maps and is just a tad cheaper compared to NiKo and coldzera.
Despite being the cheapest player on BIG, XANTARES ($9,500) comes in with the second-most kills -- 626 -- over their last 32 maps played, while holding the third-best kill-to-death ratio in that time.
tabseN ($10,900) has the most kills -- 657 -- in their last 32 maps and has the second-highest kill-to-death ratio. Even with BIG being the underdogs, there is fantasy value with some of their players -- who also offer plenty of leverage in tournaments.
syrsoN ($11,300) has the best kill-to-death ratio on the team in this sample size, the third-most kills, and is the most expensive player. He also comes in with a very low 25.8% Headshot rate, leaving points on the table -- making him a clear third option for BIG.