CS:GO Daily Fantasy Helper: ESL Pro League, Road to Rio, Saturday 5/16/20
With traditional sports on hold for now, esports has taken the front seat in DFS, and we now have Counter-Strike: Global Offensive to play on FanDuel. Affectionately known as CS:GO, two teams of five players compete on each map until one team reaches 16 rounds. Most series are played as a best-of-three and will feature teams from the ESL Pro League in North America, the CIS region, and Europe.
If you are new to esports DFS or CS:GO DFS, take a look at the introduction piece with a rundown of format and scoring. All matches are best-of-three, and players will receive a bonus for completing a 2-0 sweep.
Team North versus GODSENT
Team North are set to take on GODSENT in a series to determine the 7th/8th place finishers. This isn't a massively consequential series but it still impacts their shot a qualifying later in the year. We also have the added wrinkle of Team North playing without Kjaerbye, who is dealing with a medical issue. Jumpy has played the recent matches for North and we should expect him to remain in the lineup. GODSENT comes in as the favorite and hold an implied win probability of 62.5%.
zehN ($9,400) had the second-most kills for GODSENT, the highest kill-to-death differential on the team, and averaged 19 kills per map. Averaging 19 kills per map is great, but recently, we have seen zehN be very hot or cold. Over his last six maps, he has posted 10, 30, 10, 20, 35, and 21 kills. He is all over the place but the ceiling over 30+ is something you should be willing to roster.
Maden ($9,400) had one more kill than zehH, but had a lower kill-to-death differential -- which impacts his overall fantasy production. In this same six map sample size, Maden has been a bit more consistent -- with a low of 14 and a high of 28.
Both Maikelele ($9,000) and kRYSTAL ($9,000) hold negative kill-to-death differential -- along with averaging 15 kills or fewer per map. STYKO ($9,900) falls in the middle of zehN/Maden and Maikelele/kRYSTAL -- in terms of average kills per map and potential ceiling.
aizy ($11,500) is the only player on North holding a positive kill-to-death differential, has the most kills on the team, and is the only player averaging 20 kills or more per map. He is their best player and should be rostered will full confidence in the MVP spot.
MSL ($9,800) is only -1 when it comes to his kill-to-death differential and is averaging 19.4 kills per map. Historically, MSL isn't known a player who picks up a ton of kills but with Kjaerbye out of the lineup, there is a need for him to step up and add as many as he can.
cajunb ($9,600), gade ($9,700), and Jumpy are all lower-tier options on the slate and should only be in play if you are going with a stars and scrubs lineup build.
G2 Esports versus FaZe Clan
G2 have been on the last few slates, so nothing should be new here. They are an elite team and have all five of their players holding a positive kill-to-death differential for this event.
huNter ($10,800) has jumped up and now leads the team in total kills for the event -- 513 -- and is averaging 20.5 kills per map. He has the third-highest kill-to-death differential and has posted 20 kills or more in five of his last six maps.
nexa ($10,800) is up there with huNter and sits with 500 total kills, averaging 20.0 kills per map. They are both strong options on this slate, with nexa offering slightly more upside since he has a high kill-to-death differential aka doesn't die as much -- costing you fantasy points.
kennyS ($11,800) is struggling right now, there is no other way to put it. He is their star player but hasn't been playing like that recently and frankly, is tough to pay for with very modest production. He has passed 20 kills only one time in his last eight maps.
JaCkz ($9,900) and AmaNEk ($10,000) are role players on a good team. They don't put up the elite numbers huNter and nexa have been showing, but they are cheaper and could help round out your lineup.
FaZe Clan won a marathon of a match on Wednesday versus NiP and got swept somewhat easily by Astralis yesterday.
coldzera ($11,900) leads FaZe in kills, kill-to-death differential, and Headshot (HS) percentage. A high floor, a high ceiling, and consistency, but it comes at an expensive price tag.
NiKo ($12,000) has 58 more kills than broky ($11,600), but broky holds a higher kill-to-death differential by +23. They are both fantastic options but NiKo has the higher ceiling, as broky hasn't broken 30 kills in a map during this event.
Rain ($11,000) has been in better form than olofmeister ($10,100) in recent maps and for the majority of this event. Neither of them hold too much of a ceiling since they aren't put in a position to rack up the kills, that sits with NiKo and coldzera.
Winstrike Team versus Hard Legion Esports
Winstrike are the favorite in this matchup and have a few viable fantasy options.
El1an ($11,000) has the most kills and the highest kill-to-death differential on the team. KrizzeN ($11,700) is a bit over-priced considering he has a negative kill-to-death differential.
Hobbit ($10,300) has 16 kills or more in five of his last six maps and is only slightly negative when it comes to kill-to-death differential.
For Hard Legion Esports, they offer a bit of value since their most expensive player is Forester ($9,900), who is also their best player by a good margin, holding the most kills and highest kill-to-death differential on the team.
rAge ($9,600) isn't too far behind Forester and comes in with 21 kills or more in three of his last five maps.
Nemiga Gaming versus Syman Gaming
This is essentially a coin flip match with no clear favorite but certainly some solid fantasy points on both sides.
lollipop21k ($10,400) has a really nice ceiling, but is also showing to have a very low floor -- almost a true boom or bust player. In his last five maps, he has posted as high as 26 and 28 kills, with a low of 3 and 6. A wide range of outcomes but the ideal tournament option.
Jyo ($10,000) is also very volatile as of late, with a high of 33 kills and a low of 8. Embrace that in tournaments and shy away from using them in the MVP spot.
n0rb3r7 ($10,000) is over-priced and holds a negative kill-to-death differential in each of his last five maps. mou ($9,400) is very affordable and comes in with 19 kills or more in six of his last eight maps.
KEOZ ($9,500) is a diamond in the rough and a great value option for this slate. He has 24 kills or more in five of his last eight maps and 17 or more in six of those same eight maps.