League of Legends Daily Fantasy Helper: LPL, Saturday 5/2/20
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Let's break down the LPL slate for Friday, April 24th, and see who stands out. (Just a heads up, the slate locks at 5:00 a.m. EST.)
This is it. The LPL Finals have arrived and we have Top Esports taking on JD Gaming -- who finished in fourth place and second place during the regular season, respectively. This series will be a best-of-five and truly showcase some of the best players in the world.
JD Gaming come into this series as very slight favorites and have an implied win probability of 58.8%. It's almost a coin flip scenario and that should give you several different routes to attack via roster construction. Generally, going with a 4-1 stack -- four players from the team who ends up winning, one from the losing -- brings the most potential upside.
JD Gaming has played only one series so far in the playoffs and won with a 3-0 sweep versus FunPlus Phoenix. Their stats for that series are super strong -- as you would assume for a sweep -- and hold the top three spots for Kill/Death/Assist Ratio (KDA) in the LPL playoffs. Those players are LokeN ($16,000), Kanavi ($14,000), and Yagao ($14,500). They come in as three of the four most expensive players on the entire slate. Oh boy. You really have to break out the checkbook if you plan on rostering all three of them, and it should force you into a stars and scrubs build.
LvMao ($9,500) is their support and is finding his way into a lot of preliminary lineups builds simply due to his price tag on this slate. He is the cheapest starter they have and can be the fourth option in a JD Gaming stack. Zoom ($12,000) could be going overlooked since he falls into the middle-range of salary and doesn't have the same upside LokeN or Yagao have.
Top Esports are the "underdog" in this series, but it's by a very slim margin and they are a viable fantasy option today. Top Esports have won two rounds to get to the finals -- each by a 3-1 series victory -- and have a bit of a larger sample in the playoff specifically. The big story for them has been the signing of JackeyLove ($15,500) late in the regular season -- he only played six games -- and now one series away from winning the LPL. Since he entered the lineup, Top Esports have a 12-2 map record -- which is good for 5-0 in those series.
JackeyLove is one of my favorite plays on the entire slate and should be very highly owned -- regardless if you are stacking JD Gaming or Top Esports. knight ($13,000) makes a clear option -- he is their mid laner -- and has been posting very strong numbers in the playoffs. He has five kills or more in five of his eight playoff maps, along with six assists or more in five maps. Top Esports have two supports listed on their roster -- QuiQui ($7,000) and yuyanjia ($8,500). Yuyanjia has started every single map in the playoffs, BUT it was announced that QuiQui will be the starter.
There is no indication that he will be playing the entire series, simply just starting the first game. This is a potential problem since you won't get points if he is subbed out. If you are rolling out only one lineup for this slate, you should probably avoid this situation entirely. But if you are going with multiple lineups, this is a chance to aim for some leverage and jump on the uncertainty.