Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 19
There is no better way to enjoy your boxing day than relaxing and watching the full slate of EPL action.
Using Soccer odd as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from Paddy Power, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
Brighton vs. Arsenal
Arsenal to Win -145
The Gunners have managed a strong start to the season as the goal difference tiebreaker is the only separation between them and fourth-place Chelsea. Arsenal can largely credit their early success to their dominance against the bottom half of the table as they are 7W-1D-1L versus the bottom-10 sides.
Brighton sit in 13th place in the league table and rank 16th in WhoScored.com’s team rankings, so they have certainly played like a bottom-half side so far this year. Brighton are 2-1-6 against top-half teams this season, with their best win coming against a then-struggling Manchester United squad.
Arsenal have taken care of business against weaker sides this season, and Brighton have failed to rise to the level of the top teams in the league. This should be a relatively easy win for Unai Emery’s team.
Crystal Palace vs. Cardiff City
Crystal Palace to win -160
Crystal Palace are starting to heat up a little bit, but the main reason to pick Palace here is due to Cardiff’s incredible ineptitude away from home.
Cardiff own a 0-1-7 away record in their travels, with their only away result coming against a 19th-place Huddersfield side that played a third of the game with 10 men. Until proven otherwise, there is no reason to believe that Cardiff’s away performances will get better anytime soon.
Crystal Palace have not been impressive overall this season (5-3-10 record, 14th place) but they have come to life the last two games with wins over ninth-place Leicester and second-place Manchester City. Palace should be flying high going into this game, and they should be able to dispose of the weakest away team in the league on Wednesday.
Fulham vs. Wolves
Wolves to win +120
Fulham hold home-field advantage in this game, but the massive talent edge should still tilt the match in Wolves’ favor.
Fulham are dead last in the EPL with a 2-4-12 record and a monstrous -26 goal difference. Wolves, meanwhile, are 7-4-7 with a -2 goal difference (good enough for 10th place). The gap in ability is even larger, according to WhoScored.com’s team rankings, which put Wolves in seventh, compared to last for Fulham.
Fulham are the worst team in the league up to this point, and it is hard to expect them to earn points against any team of decent quality.
