Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 13
During the international break, England earned a late comeback win over Croatia en route to winning their UEFA Nations League Group. We will now hope for more of the same excitement during this week's EPL action.
Using FanDuel's sportsbook as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from Paddy Power, and you can check here to see their most updated numbers.
West Ham vs Manchester City
West Ham to Score no Goals +100
Overall, West Ham have produced a mediocre offensive output this season, as they are 11th in the league in goals scored and 15th in shots per game. Against top competition, the Hammers have gone completely goalless, as they were shutout by Liverpool, Chelsea and Tottenham earlier this year.
Statistically speaking, Manchester City boast the best defense in the EPL for the second consecutive year. City led the league in goal prevention last season (27 goals conceded) and this season they are tied with Liverpool for a league-low five goals conceded. In addition, City have conceded fewer shots than anyone else in the EPL this season (6.5 per game).
The bottom line is that West Ham has failed to score against the other top defensive teams in the league this season and there is no reason to expect them to find the back of the net against the most dominant team in the EPL.
Tottenham vs Chelsea
Chelsea to Win- Draw no Bet -112
Chelsea are only one measly point ahead of Tottenham in the league table, but they have played like the far superior side so far this season.
Chelsea have scored seven more goals and conceded two fewer than Tottenham, giving them a +19 goal differential to Spurs' +10. The Blues have taken significantly more shots per game (18.1 versus 12.6) and have conceded significantly less (8.5 versus 12.5).
The main worry here is that Tottenham is at home, but Spurs have only managed 2 wins and 2 losses at home this year, while Chelsea has 4 wins and 1 draw away from home. Spurs have not taken advantage of home field this year and Chelsea are clearly the better side, so the Blues should be expected to take this one.
Bournemouth vs Arsenal
Bournemouth +1 (no push) -120
Bournemouth are only one spot below Arsenal in the table and they should stand a fantastic chance to earn a result this weekend. Bournemouth have only lost one out of six league matches at their home ground this year, and while the Gunners are a solid 3-1-1 away from home this season, they have only played one team in the top 13 in those 5 games (a 3-2 loss against Chelsea).
Bournemouth surprisingly leads Arsenal in both shots per game and shots conceded per game so far this season and they are only three spots behind in WhoScored.com's team rankings. This would indicate that Arsenal are perhaps playing a slightly higher level than Bournemouth, but the gap is not as wide as the odds would suggest. Bournemouth is more than good enough to expect at least one point against Arsenal on their home soil.
