Premier League Betting Guide for Matchweek 2
After an exciting opening week of EPL action, we continue into matchweek 2, where all 20 teams are once again playing.
Using Top Bet as the source for lines, let's take a look at some bets you should zero in on this week.
Please note that lines are subject to change after this article is published, which impacts betting advice. All betting lines were taken from topbet and you can check here to see their most updated lines.
Everton vs Southampton
Everton to win (-110)
Everton finished last season with a 10W-4D-5L record at home. This includes an 8-2-0 record at home against the bottom half of the table, which is where Southampton will likely reside at the end of the season, according to most oddsmakers. Last weekend, Everton earned a draw away to a decent Wolves side despite being down to 10 men for the entire second half.
On the flip side, Southampton finished with a 3-8-8 record away from home last season, and they were outplayed in their opening match at home last week against Burnley. Southampton were outshot 6-3 (on target attempts), and they only held 47% possession in the 0-0 draw during Matchweek 1.
Overall, based on last year’s performances and what little we have seen from this season, Everton should be clear favorites to win this game. They dominated at home against lesser competition last year and even at their best, Southampton are far from world beaters.
Burnley vs Watford
Burnley to win (+126)
Burnley finished last season with 7-5-7 in home matches, including a 4-4-2 record against the bottom half of the table.
Burnley were a decent home side last season, while Watford were an absolutely brutal away side, finishing 4-2-13 away from home. What’s even more bizarre about their poor away record is that they somehow managed to secure 10 points from their first 4 away matches last season before falling into a tailspin away from home (1-1-13 in their final 15 road games).
This bet is more against Watford than it is in favor of Burnley, as the Hornets were putrid on the road last season and they are pegged to be one of the worst teams in the EPL again this year. Burnley finished seventh last season and are not a bad side, so they should be able to defeat Watford on their home ground.
Brighton & Hove Albion vs Manchester United
Over 2.0 goals
Only 5 out of Brighton’s 19 home games from last season ended with less than 2 total goals, while 6 ended with exactly 2 goals and 8 finished with more than 2 goals. Brighton scored 24 goals and conceded 25 at home last season, resulting in an average of 2.58 goals per game.
For Manchester United, 7 of their 19 away games from last season finished with less than 2 goals, while 3 ended with exactly 2 goals and 9 ended with more than 2 goals. The Red Devils scored 30 goals and conceded 19 away from home last season, resulting in an identical average to Brighton’s (2.58 goals per game).
In total, 17 out of the 29 non-push games (58.7%) above ended with more than 2 goals, so if you can get odds at anything -140 (58.33% implied odds) or lower, it is worth considering placing a bet on the over.
