What It Means:

With 104 career touchdowns, Gates needs just eight more scores to pass Gonzalez's mark of 111. This would be sixth among all positions and first among tight ends. Considering Gates was still able to score five times last season despite missing the first four games and limping through the second half of the calendar with a sprained MCL, there's a decent chance he breaks the record, even at age 36.

Our algorithms project Gates for 72 receptions for 832 yards receiving and 5.99 touchdowns in 2016.