March Madness: 6 Potential Round of 64 Upsets

Upsets are the biggest reason among many reasons why the first Thursday and Friday of the NCAA Tournament should be national holidays. Some of the upsets. we "all" have picked in our brackets, while others seem totally impossible to predict. It's that unpredictability of the tournament's first weekend that keeps us anxiously tuning in each year -- but that's not going to stop us from partaking in the fun of trying to predict the biggest surprises and upsets ahead of time, is it?

Let's turn to our nERD metric -- which is the amount of points a team would be expected to beat an average team by on a neutral court -- to look at six first-round matchups where the data points to closer games than the seedings might lead you to believe.

Want to get a huge leg up on your March Madness pool? Subscribe to numberFire and get instant access to power rankings, bracket picks, game simulators, and tons of awesome expert advice to help you make the right decision.

Even better, we're offering our subscriptions at $19 over the first month when you use the promo code BRACKET.

Find Out More