NBA

NBA Playoff Odds Update: Back the Bucks and Blazers

Even after having lost home-court advantage, the Bucks offer up value, according to our algorithm.

The NBA playoffs have offered up some back-and-forth battles to start the second round.

The Warriors hold an important 2-0 lead on the Rockets as the series heads to Houston, but the other three series are all tied up at one game apiece.

So how do the odds look now -- both on FanDuel Sportsbook and via our algorithm?

Odds Update

Here are each team's finals odds, per our algorithm, and their number at NBA odds.

TeamnumberFire Win OddsFanDuel Sportsbook Odds
Golden State Warriors54.6%-190
Milwaukee Bucks15.2%+550
Toronto Raptors9.8%+750
Boston Celtics6.2%+2000
Philadelphia 76ers4.7%+1700
Portland Trail Blazers4.2%+3200
Denver Nuggets3.7%+2500
Houston Rockets1.7%+1100


With the Warriors (and Rockets) priced out, which other teams offer up value at first glance?

Milwaukee Bucks

The Milwaukee Bucks led the NBA in our nERD metric in the 2018-19 season. They bounced back to win Game 2 against the Boston Celtics. So far in the series, the Bucks have grabbed 83.3% of the available rebounds, most of any team remaining. They also have just an effective field goal percentage 48.9% so far. The Bucks ranked second on the full season at 55.0%. They also could get Malcolm Brogdon back for Game 3, and they're 4.2 points per 100 possessions better with him on the court.

Portland Trail Blazers

The Portland Trail Blazers (+3200) are the biggest longshot at FanDuel Sportsbook. You wouldn't need a huge investment at that price. Either the Rockets or Warriors will be knocked off, and Portland just picked up homecourt advantage agains the Denver Nuggets. Portland's +6.7 net rating after the All-Star break ranked them fourth in the NBA. Denver's +1.9 ranked 11th.