What It Means:

The deal will likely include Julio Urias, Los Angeles' phenom pitching prospect.

This deal would give the Dodgers three top-20 pitchers in our nERD metric, which indicates how many runs a pitcher would save during a 27-out game relative to an average pitcher. Clayton Kershaw (2.53) ranks second, Price (2.32) is sixth, and Zack Greinke (2.12) is 19th. The Dodgers have also reportedly acquired Mat Latos (1.46 nERD) from the Marlins and Alex Wood (1.85 nERD) from the Braves. Our algorithms already give the Dodgers the highest odds to win the World Series (17.0%), and this deal would only increase the gap.