What It Means:

According to our algorithm the Tigers currently have an 8.5% chance of making the playoffs, which is 9th best among AL teams and far behind the team one spot ahead of them, the Baltimore Orioles at 24%.

Tigers starters rank 26th in ERA (4.52), 18th in xFIP (4.03), and 23rd in strikeouts per nine innings (6.84). Leake has a 3.78 ERA and a 3.94 FIP this season, so he would be a solid addition. xFIP isn't a great indicator of performance for Leake, as his career home run to ball ratio is well above league average at 13.7%. However, he keeps the ball in the park with a 52 percent groundball rate and a 27.4% hard hit rate. His 1.84 nERD would be second the Tigers staff behind David Price.